New Years Day, 1999

A Full Day

January 1 has an unusually large number of big Z-scores, and all but one of the 9 eggs have a positive Chi-square cumulation relative to expectation. The composite p-value for the day, using the 15-minute blocks (96 df per egg) is approximately p = 0.006 (Chi-Square = 972, on 864 df), estimated from the graph. The graph looks very interesting, and a scan of the last few months' daily graphs shows no such unusually consistent general shift. We should note, however, that this is merely interesting: no prediction was made with regard to the whole day of 1st January.