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This is an exploration to see whether the combined effects of two
disparate events, neither of which is of the sort usually chosen for
"global events", may affect the eggs. Henri Laupmaa suggested the
exploration, in the context of asking whether the realtime "dot" display
on the GCP site should be taken seriously. (It is possible he looked for
and found these events because the dot seemed to indicate strong
coherence in the network -- a procedure that precludes inclusion in the
formal series.)
On the 10th of August 2004, the Iranian government proceeded to unseal
their atomic plants, which had been under UN seal during the recent
negotiations with EU countries to preclude nuclear proliferation in
Iran. In addition, Laupman reports,
There was a helicopter crash on route between Tallinn and Helsinki
couple of hours ago which was reported in many news sources around the
world and the coherence indicator on the Noosphere site indicated high
5% red."
Because the world is quite tense in expectation of an event that might
triger the next war - so any such event is highly reported and
followed. Which means the attention is so high that smaller events can
have high impact.
The overall question is - should we in the GCP community reccommend
potential events that produce coherence?
If the answer is yes then [there were] today were two events
in the news that might create some attention / coherence:
a. Iran breaks U.N. seals on atomic plant (time - dispersed over day)
b. Helicopter crash in the Baltic sea (happened 12.45 GMT+2 and news
followed starting from 1 PM)
What does the data show?
How seriously can we take the correlation in Brad Anderson's java
application?
As the figure shows, there is no strong indication of a trend around the
time of the crash. On the other hand, the early morning
beginning about 06:00 local time in Tehran, and continuing until a
little after noon, shows a strong trend, that would be highly
significant if an a priori prediction had been made for this
period. For the full day, the deviation is modest, and not
distinguishable from chance.
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