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111111 Celebrations and Meditations

The rare occasion of a chronological palindrome, the date 11-11-11, extended by many to the palindromic time 11:11 (AM and PM!) seemed a natural event in the categories of celebrations and meditations. It was suggested either explicitly or implicitly by a great many people, especially those who intended to lead or be involved in a group or mass meditation.

Since there were many planned virtual gatherings around the world, but especially in the West, it seemed appropriate to specify the whole 24-hour UTC day as the event. An alternative would be to use the epoch averaging employed for New Years since many people were focused on the 11:11 time of day and explicitly envisioned a wave of meditations flowing around the world as the time approached in each timezone.

In any case,the result for the 24 hour day specification is Chisquare 86348 on 86400 df for p = 0.549 and Z = -0.124. This is not a strong result, and the history of the day's data shown in the graph does not seem to give evidence of a substantial deviation.

111111 Celebrations and Meditations

It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses.


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