Bombing, Taba Egypt

On October 7 2004, the Hilton Taba was hit by a bomv that killed 34 people, including Israeli vacationers. Aome 3 weeks later, and inquiry by the Egyptian Interiou Ministry into the bombing concluded that the perpetrators received no external help but were aided by Bedouins on the peninsula.

The GCP event was set for 19:00 to 23:00 UTC, a four hour period giving time for the news to spread. The result is Chisquare 14618.506 on 14400 df, for p = 0.099 and Z = 1.285.

Bombing, Taba
Egypt

It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses.


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